Unfortunately, we live in a world where the most prosperous nation of Sixties, United States of America, has more or less dominated the whole world economy, be it Europe, Asia through the last four to five decades. It always was a common joke in the investing community (people who invest in Stock markets of India) that if U.S. sneezes, India catches a cold. Now that the big daddy of them all, the U.S. is paralyzed, the picture is gloomy elsewhere. Economic development has come to a standstill, credit is squeezed and the whole world is paying for the Great American Greed. As things stand, every country and almost everybody having some interest in the economy looks at the U.S. with fingers crossed every day, for a magic wand that will take this world out of the grips of recession.
The bailout package announced by the Federal Reserve and finally passed by the U.S. Congress is one such effort to bring order into the broken financial system of that country. How-so-ever big it may seem in terms of billions ($787 bn), whatever it aims at, what appears is that it aims at just plugging the loopholes, that the American system has acquired over the years. AIG (the world’s largest insurer), Bear Sterns (one of the TOP 5 investment banks in America), Citigroup, GM, Ford, Chrysler all have received money from the U.S. government in forms of Aid as the U.S. government considers these companies too big to fall and the consequences huge. I would rather differ in the argument.
It’s alright for the U.S. government to rescue these companies to some extent as the thought that some order would be rescued in the Financial Markets around the world will be restored and investor confidence might be brought back again. But at what cost? Billions of dollars to rescue General Motors? Rather go ahead and buy cars from GM worth billions of dollars and distribute it freely amongst people of all the states. When did the Japanese competition started? Since 70s. What were these so called Big 3 of Detroit doing till now? Waiting for catastrophe to occur and then pull out the begging hats and go back to work again. 1979, Chrysler was rescued by the U.S. government with emergency loans and guarantees worth 4 bn $. Now, it wants government to help it out again. When will the whole world get a guarantee that such systems won’t propagate again? If we look at the way American government’s intentions of handing out the bailout package, the answer will be a very big NEVER. At one hand, these large corporate entities fly in their private jets to the Capitol hill (Washington D.C.) to demand taxpayer’s money as their birth right and on the second hand, Wall Street makes big noises when the CXOs (X includes E, F, I) when these companies are asked by the government to limit the pay of their executives.
I think America is just about promoting the systemic failure that led to the crisis and plunge of financial markets across the world. Alright, the year 2008 had only one Lehman Brothers, one AIG, one GM, one Ford, one Chrysler, but by bailing them out, who’s going to take the guarantee that next time around there’ll be none. No one will give that guarantee; in fact the system is being promoted. New AIGs and Lehman Brothers will crop up. There will be new Bear Sterns; new meril lynches to eat away into the taxpayer’s money any time they find their way of doing business was a bit inconvenient to themselves. We’ve already seen the Great American Greed consuming the big wigs of Enron, Salomon Brothers in the previous few decades, but the American Government instead of taking regulation into their hands is just playing out into the hands of the corporate bodies. This is what exactly is labelled as “Lemon Socialism” (source http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lemon_socialism). The U.S. government is trying to socialize the “lemons”, i.e., the worst performing industries, read AIG, Lehman Brothers, Bear Sterns, and GM etc. Sooner or later, this list will become endless. Who doesn’t mind extra cash in days of crisis anyway?
“In September 2008, the US Senator from Vermont,Democratic Socialist Bernie Sanders said regarding the bailout of the U.S. financial system: “This is the most extreme example that I can recall of socialism for the rich and free enterprise for the poor”.” (Source below)
http://sanders.senate.gov/news/record.cfm?id=303313
While the capitalists will still get to take the profits provided they are back to profiting ways again, the losses have been shared by the socialist American Government and the unfortunate tax payers of America, whose money is in the hands of the “Best Brains of the world”.
32% of Noble laureates are from America, including 42 noble prizes in “Economics” since 1969 (source below) and this is the same country which has slipped into an economic downturn three times in two decades.
http://www.wisegeek.com/what-countries-have-received-the-most-nobel-prizes.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_laureates
http://www.vanderbilt.edu/AEA/nobel_laureates.htm
What America needs to find is a way that the system can be cleansed and the bailout package is certainly not the direction to go to.
But unfortunately, the administration has put up self constraints that are the most paradoxical for any government.
- No nationalisation
- No losses for bondholders
- No more money from Congress
These three constraints are conflicting in nature and there is very little space to achieve equilibrium between the three.
Imagine, even after nationalization, who will run these companies. The management shakeup will be difficult for the administration. That is what has prompted Vikram Pandit, the CEO of Citigroup to ask the U.S. government to give him and his management a chance to continue to execute their powers.
http://m.economictimes.com/PDAET/articleshow/4191515.cms
This way, American system will continue to be dogged by the same style of management and techniques which have proved to be a failure. By saving a few companies, I am sure many more are going to be lost down the road.
I think if America is so desperate to invest public money, then why invest in old losers? Rather, try and bring up the new winners. Why not try to bring up new Googles, Intels, Microsofts of the world. Innovation can be a road ahead and who said that necessity is the mother of all inventions. The bailout package is trying to remove the necessity by putting a blanket on all the ill deeds committed by Corporate America.
“It is just reinforcing failure.”
http://www.thenewstribune.com/opinion/story/536158.html
So, we continue with fresh capital and old and failed systems. Let’s see when we come out of this recession and how long the new period would last. The odds would certainly be in favour of another recession if the systems are not overhauled.